{"id":14155,"date":"2016-03-15T10:12:48","date_gmt":"2016-03-15T09:12:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/acc.creditexpo.be\/\/fr\/?post_type=creditex_nieuws&p=14155"},"modified":"2017-06-06T11:24:41","modified_gmt":"2017-06-06T09:24:41","slug":"2015-une-annee-reprise-pour-leconomie-belge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/acc.creditexpo.be\/fr\/2015-une-annee-reprise-pour-leconomie-belge\/","title":{"rendered":"2015, une ann\u00e9e de reprise pour l\u2019\u00e9conomie belge"},"content":{"rendered":"

Fin f\u00e9vrier, la publication des chiffres complets de la croissance au quatri\u00e8me trimestre permet de tirer un bilan de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2015 prise dans sa globalit\u00e9. Avec une croissance de 1,4 pour cent du PIB, on peut affirmer que l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2015 a \u00e9t\u00e9 marqu\u00e9e par une reprise \u00e9conomique.<\/span><\/p>\n

Il s\u2019agit en effet de la meilleure performance des quatre derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es de l\u2019\u00e9conomie belge. La conjonction de facteurs favorables, tels que la d\u00e9pr\u00e9ciation de l\u2019euro ou la diminution des prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie a manifestement permis \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie de reprendre un peu son souffle. En particulier, la baisse des prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie semble avoir jou\u00e9 un r\u00f4le tr\u00e8s important. Pour preuve, la consommation des m\u00e9nages, pourtant moribonde depuis 2011, a progress\u00e9 de 1,3% en 2015 et est responsable d\u2019une bonne partie de la croissance \u00e9conomique. On notera par ailleurs que l\u2019investissement des entreprise a \u00e9galement bien progress\u00e9. D\u00e8s lors, la demande int\u00e9rieure, que l\u2019on peut consid\u00e9rer comme \u00ab la dynamique interne \u00bb de l\u2019\u00e9conomie, a progress\u00e9 de 1,2% en 2015.<\/p>\n

Du c\u00f4t\u00e9 du commerce ext\u00e9rieur, plusieurs forces contraires ont jou\u00e9. D\u2019un c\u00f4t\u00e9, la reprise, parfois vigoureuse, dans certains pays de la zone euro (qui repr\u00e9sente la majeure partie du commerce ext\u00e9rieur belge) a influenc\u00e9 favorablement le commerce ext\u00e9rieur belge. Par contre, le ralentissement parfois prononc\u00e9 des pays \u00e9mergent l\u2019a quelque peu ralenti. Dans leur ensemble, les exportations ont progress\u00e9 de 3,4% en volume en 2015, ce qui est n\u00e9anmoins en retrait par rapport \u00e0 2014. On notera enfin que la croissance \u00e9conomique a \u00e9t\u00e9 plus vigoureuse en d\u00e9but d\u2019ann\u00e9e. Ensuite, elle s\u2019est ralentie. Ceci n\u2019est pas sans cons\u00e9quence sur les perspectives de 2016.<\/p>\n

Quid cette ann\u00e9e ?<\/strong><\/p>\n

La croissance, m\u00eame modeste, de 2015 a permis de cr\u00e9er pas moins de 44.000 emplois nets. Une fois de plus, il faut remonter au moins \u00e0 2011 pour retrouver un niveau aussi \u00e9lev\u00e9 des cr\u00e9ations d\u2019emplois. Mais surtout, ces cr\u00e9ations permettront probablement \u00e0 la croissance de s\u2019auto-entretenir durant une partie de 2016. En effet, les emplois cr\u00e9\u00e9s g\u00e9n\u00e8rent plus de revenus et in fine plus de consommation, ce qui alimente la croissance. Malgr\u00e9 cette bonne nouvelle, les perspectives \u00e9conomique restent tr\u00e8s prudentes. Le contexte \u00e9conomique global s\u2019est affaibli au cours des derniers mois, pesant sur la dynamique de l\u2019\u00e9conomie de la zone euro. Comme petite \u00e9conomie tr\u00e8s ouverte, la Belgique risque d\u2019en subir les cons\u00e9quences. C\u2019est pourquoi, apr\u00e8s une croissance du PIB de 1,4% en 2015, nous pr\u00e9voyons une croissance de 1,3% cette ann\u00e9e. Notre perspective a donc \u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9vis\u00e9e \u00e0 la baisse par rapport \u00e0 notre pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente \u00e9valuation qui date du d\u00e9but d\u2019ann\u00e9e.<\/p>\n

Au-del\u00e0 de cette pr\u00e9vision, on notera enfin que de nombreux risques pourraient peser sur notre sc\u00e9nario. En particulier, le risque financier dans les pays \u00e9mergents et le risque politique dans la zone euro devront \u00eatre surveill\u00e9s de pr\u00e8s.<\/p>\n

Bron: ING<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fin f\u00e9vrier, la publication des chiffres complets de la croissance au quatri\u00e8me trimestre permet de tirer un bilan de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2015 prise dans sa globalit\u00e9. Avec une croissance de 1,4 pour cent du PIB, on peut affirmer que l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2015 a \u00e9t\u00e9 marqu\u00e9e par une reprise \u00e9conomique. Il s\u2019agit en effet de la meilleure performance […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":12103,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[43],"tags":[],"class_list":["post--14155","post","post--type-post","post--status-publish","post--format-standard","post--has-post-thumbnail","post--hentry","post--category-general"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n2015, une ann\u00e9e de reprise pour l\u2019\u00e9conomie belge - Credit Expo Belgi\u00eb<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Fin f\u00e9vrier, la publication des chiffres complets de la croissance au quatri\u00e8me trimestre permet de tirer un bilan de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2015 prise dans sa\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/acc.creditexpo.be\/\/fr\/2015-une-annee-reprise-pour-leconomie-belge\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2015, une ann\u00e9e de reprise pour l\u2019\u00e9conomie belge - 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